Predictors of outcomes in surgery for hilar cholangiocarcinoma
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01.01.2018 |
Kovalenko Y.
Zharikov Y.
Kukeev I.
Vishnevsky V.
Chzhao A.
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Khirurgiia |
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1 |
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AIM: To determine significant predictors of long-term outcomes of surgery for portal cholangiocarcinoma. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Analysis included 49 out of 84 patients who were operated at the Vishnevsky Institute of Surgery in 2003-2016. Morphological examination (2011-2016) revealed great percentage of following positive variables: micro- (42.9%) and lymphovascular invasion (11.8%), positive resection margin (59.2%), perineural invasion (83.3%), depth of invasion - (83.3%), cells in surrounding fatty tissue (92.3%), invasion of entire thickness of bile ducts' walls (57.1%). Hemihepatectomy was carried out in 50 (59.5%) cases, advanced hemihepatectomy - in 16 (19%) patients. Left-sided hemihepatectomy (34.6%) was more common compared with right-sided hemihepatectomy (8.6%) for biliary confluence lesion (Bismuth-Corlette type IV). RESULTS: TNM stage (p=0.29), tumor localization Bismuth-Corlette type (p=0.10), regional lymph nodes metastases (p=0.77) do not significantly affect survival in univariate analysis. At the same time, TNM stage was significant factor if patients dividing into groups was considered (p=0.05). In regression analysis tumor cells differentiation (p=0.00028), positive resection margin (p=0.0034), perineural invasion and depth of invasion (p=0,00086) were significant predictors of survival. Multivariate analysis confirmed prognostic role of lymphovascular invasion alone (p=0.05). There was no correlation between survival and TNM stage (η=0.057), depth of invasion (η= -0.229) and lymphovascular invasion (η= -0.143645). There was significant reverse moderate correlation between survival and perineural invasion (η= - 0.468750), resection margin (η= -0.558) and tumor differentiation grade (η= -0.481). CONCLUSION: Significant predictors of long-term outcomes of surgery for portal cholangiocarcinoma are TNM stage, lymphovascular invasion, tumor cells differentiation, perineural invasion.
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Predictors of poor outcomes in acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
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01.01.2018 |
Soe A.
Avdeev S.
Nuralieva G.
Gaynitdinova V.
Chuchalin A.
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Pulmonologiya |
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0 |
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© 2018 National Research University Higher School of Economics. All rights reserved. The aim of this study was to identify predictors of poor outcomes in patients hospitalized for severe acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD). Methods. This retrospective, observational cohort study was conducted in Pulmonology Department of a city hospital in 2015 - 2016 and involved patients hospitalized for severe AECOPD. Patients were divided according to outcomes. Poor outcomes included at least one of the followings: the need in invasive (IMV) or non-invasive (NIV) ventilation, admission to ICU, in-hospital death and COPD-related readmission during 2 months. Demographic, clinical, laboratory parameters, pulmonary function tests and blood gas analysis were analyzed; different multidimensional prognostic scores were also evaluated and compared. Results. Of 121 patients included, a poor outcome had occurred in 45 patients (37%). Among them, NIV was required in 21 (17%), IMV in 8 (6%), and admission to ICU in 16 patients (13%); death was registered in 6 patients (5%) and readmission in 27 (22%) of the patients. Patients with poor outcomes were admitted more frequently by ambulance (62% vs 40%; p = 0.003), more often were admitted to a hospital for AECOPD in the previous year (69% vs 45%; p = 0.0006), and had lower pH (p = 0.001), lower PaO2 (p = 0.001), higher PaCO2 (p = 0.001), and a worse score on several prognostic scales such as APACHE II (13.9 ± 5.4 vs 7.8 ± 3.6; p = 0.001), DECAF (2.4 ± 0.6 vs 1.5 ± 0.6; p = 0.001), BODEx (5.6 ± 1.8 vs 3.9 ± 1.1; p = 0.001), DOSE (2.9 ± 1.5 vs 2.2 ± 1.2; p = 0.029), and ADO (4.9 ± 1.5 vs 4.3 ± 1.3; p = 0.015) at admission. They more frequently received O2 therapy (87% vs 46%; p = 0.001) and had longer hospital stay (19.2 ± 6.2 days vs 12.5 ± 1.8 days; p = 0.001). Conclusions. Hypercapnia, hypoxemia and worse prognostic scores on admission predicted poor outcome in patients hospitalized for AECOPD during the previous year.
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